Tag: culture

  • Free lunch does not exist.

    What is exactly the problem of universal health care systems? Why cannot economies maintain free health care for consecutive generations without struggling too much?

    To the non-economist audience, it might sound reasonable for every country to execute and maintain a sustainable system that manages pensions, healthcare and other welfare payments uniquely and in one account, under ethical and practical standards that match their financing plans perfectly. Politicians bring this matter up during the debates before all the elections and according to the stage the country is in, voters decide whether the health care system must be empowered or weakened. But why a heavenly, ethical and sustainable public healthcare system does not exist for every country? In this article, I will try to avoid technical matters and focus on the outcomes of studies on the issue. In the first paragraph, I will attempt to go over some very basic economics, as known as Econ 101 and then, I will discuss the issue.

    Specifically, we must consider the feasibility of welfare in every country. Well, some nations are wealthy, and some are not. Among wealthier nations, some of them are even wealthier and by some standards, they are getting more and more prosperous. To understand what I mean by wealth and being wealthy and getting wealthier, think of a simple quantified amount of wealth that each citizen holds. This wealth includes his/her financial assets, future income flows, savings, real estate and even knowledge. Taking an average of this value in dollars will easily help us rule out countries like China, India and Russia from wealthy countries and focus on the countries that have higher levels of what we refer to as “wealth per capita”. Without demonstrating many technical issues, the statistics of wealth show that a Chinese individual is not wealthier than an Eastern European citizen, of course on average.

    Average Wealth (per Capita), source: Wikipedia

    These wealthy nations in Western Europe, North America, Eastern Asia and Oceania are not easily capable of increasing welfare using a high marginal propensity of consumption rate. Instead, their idea has been to increase the number of years that each citizen lives. In simple words, people are getting enough from their normal life and giving them more does not satisfy them enough. Therefore, the allocation of the market tells the policymaker that it is tangible to invest in the length of life, rather than increasing welfare by increasing consumption at any point in time.

    To conclude the previous paragraph that provided a simple overview, I refer back to the word feasibility: is the nation that is discussing a free healthcare system for everyone, “wealthy enough” to do so? I doubt that many nations are at this stage. Maybe few Northern European economies were capable of maintaining such healthcare systems for decades, but even in those countries, the natural ageing tendency of the society and higher life expectancy has brought an end to the infinite willingness to give everything to everyone for a relatively cheap price. Reconsiderations have started, and charging people for what they get is the most reasonable answer, just like the banana market. Pay 1 unit and get 1 banana, pay 2 and get two. In such markets, there are offers to receive more than you pay, when you pay more than average. Take the case of private retirement investment portfolios that insurance companies and banks offer to their clients.

    Rather than feasibility, there is philosophical reasoning behind a private healthcare system, and it raises from a sort of moral hazard. Imagine healthy people start paying very high taxes for people that consume cigarettes or alcohol on a daily basis. What I mean is a public healthcare system, in which there is an annual fee paid as taxes or fees, and everyone pays the same amount! You may want to point out to almost every country that subsidizes negatively the consumer of smoking products by additional taxes. Simple algebra shows that the average amount a smoker pays through taxes does not cover the costs of one case of lung cancer in a public hospital.

    Furthermore, some may mention that health is not an economic good that we shall consider like an ordinary product and therefore, the nature and characteristics of such “ethical” market must be different. So what is an economic good? Why isn’t lime or avocado subsidised to become available for the poorer classes in the society? This logic is misleading and calls for free education in universities, subsidised public transportation, subsidised fuel markets and at the end of the day, subsidises having children because it is “nice” and “ethical” to have children. This system is inefficient, works against its own standards by penalising citizens for every action in their daily lives and ends up in an inflationary economy that might even face a permanent stagnation.

    Eventually, we have to think of COVID crisis as a heavy shock that hit our economies. The world will not be the same, welfare will decrease for some time and we have to pay for what we have not initiated, and it is far from being fair. The problem is there does not seem to be any other solution for such hard times. Calls for increasing public expenditures are nonsense and even dangerous. Take a look at the public debt crisis in Southern Europe and you will see what a true long-term disaster it can become.

  • Covid19 – Why should not we panic?

    All of us are experiencing what will be remembered for the next generations as CoronaVirus epidemic disease. More precisely, we have no idea at this moment on how the virus is going to evolve over time. What we are almost certain about is its effects on our economy in short-medium term. What we can forecast is the effects on people and their networks in long-term. Here, I will present some very preliminary comments on different aspects of this crisis that people have to deal with.

    Image result for corona toilet paper

    Supermarkets: The economy works differently than most people think. Our economies are based on a competitive market and some regulations to protect the property rights. But why cannot this huge system of theories, technology and regulations provide you with toilet paper these days? Again, like most of the economists I have to mention the classic terms of demand and supply. In short-run, demand is more elastic than supply. It means that it is easier for 1 family to buy 100 more toilet paper rolls than for 100 families to produce 1 more roll. For increasing the manufacturing level, you need machines, labour, transportation and most importantly time to combine these inputs. In short-term, the stock of super markets and firms runs out of toilet paper, because millions of people are going to increase their demand to be able to stock dozens of rolls in their homes! It should not be surprising that maybe for one to two weeks, you have to use a sort of substitute good for toilet paper. We economists just like other people, also need these products. Trying to compromise the shortages of our economy does not pay our bills, but it helps us to comprehend the situation of the real world, where things are different than people’s ideal world. On the other hand, when the pandemic situation ends, we will probably have better supply chain among the supermarkets, using Artificial Intelligence for matching the needs of the customers and the availability of the stock capacity. You will also be able to download more efficient applications to order products from your local suppliers.

    Culture and Networks: I assume CoronaVirus will make hygienic products more profitable, leading to a long-time increase in the production of hand sanitizing gels for isntance. This increase will lead to a significant decrease in the price of such products. The awareness we gain regarding our health and hygiene, can be one of the very few advantages we can get during this crisis. Public places, like restaurants, bars and clubs will be under pressure to increase the standards in their environment. There will be worries about the seasonal flu for some years, leading to a greater loss of schooling/working hours in the upcoming cold seasons. Elderly will receive less visits around Christmas and new years’s eve, which can be sort of appreciated also for some of the youth!

    Do I have to panic when I cough hard or have unusual fever? Sorry to say, if you live in the Northern Hemisphere and you have problems with your respiratory system and you are more than 80, maybe yes you should. Stay in home and follow the instructions of your local government for treatment. CoronaVirus does not threaten you if you take it seriously (No Panic though). Scientists are working hard in research laboratories around the globe to produce the vaccination and effective medicine. You will never be hurt if you trust scientific procedure! Just stay at home and protect yourself until the medicine will be in all the pharmacies!